kk_Blog

- Icelandic betting picks from a non Icelandic punter -

Monday, August 08, 2005

Landsbankadeild - 08-08-2005 -

Fram - Valur (0-3 in reverse fixture)

Fram and Valur will meet each other by the end of September for the VISA-Bikar final match at Laugardalsvollur. Today they'll play in Landsbankadeild, but the game is not less important.

Fram want to avoid relegation; Valur want (at least) a place in next UEFA Cup.

The hosts come to this game after having defeted Throttur in the league and FH (after penalty shootout) in the national cup. Such achievements must have boosted thier morale and in fact today Fram will field a very offensive squad, with the central midfielder Leifsson who will join the forwards Ottosson and Dadasson to make the attack up.

Valur don't need an introduction. They're the second best team after FH, having collected 9 victories out of 11 matches.Although it's very unlikely they won't get the 2nd place Valur play every single match with strong motivations. Today's one included.

For the upcoming match Fram will miss Sveinsson and McLynn (injured), while the young midfielder Thorarinsson is doubtful.
Valur are expected to be at full strenght. They should only miss the defeender Hreidarsson (suspended).

H2H: (won't report it again :))

I think there are many signs of a high-scoring game today.
Fram need to win, Valur want to; stats and modules also suggest several goals. Stanleybet is offering 1,70 on over 2,5 and I'm going to take it with medium stakes (in the reverse fixture it just took half an hour to see 3 goals!!).
I'd avoid 1X2 bets here, although you can find tempting odds on guests I think there is no value under evens (and anyway I'd suggest low stakes only).

Fram - Valur:

Pick: Over 2,5
Odds: 1,70
Bookmaker: Stanleybet
Stake: 4/10
Confidence: 6,5/10

KK_

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