kk_Blog

- Icelandic betting picks from a non Icelandic punter -

Thursday, June 30, 2005

Landsbankadeild - 30-06-2005 -

FH - Fram.

Hard to find some reasons not to back the home side. Everything, but the statistic (once again ) points to a sure, easy victory for the table leader Hafnarfjordur.

Fram are showing a poor form, they come from 2 disappointing defeats both at home vs Grindavik and Keflavik. Tomorrow they'll travel to FH looking for a positive result, but they will need more than a lucky, late equaliser like the one that saved them at Fylkir.

For the upcoming match Fram will miss defender Johansson (1 week ban), while the hosts will play without their top striker Gudmundsson (1 week ban), who scored the half of total goals for Hafnarfjordur.

H2H clearly shows FH have usually no problems vs Fram.

While I think homewin is only good for combos, I'd like to try and give FH -1 goal (european handicap) and go for a narrow win, backing the draw.


Throttur - Valur

First of all I already placed a bet (MultiGoal Chance 4-6 at 5,00 with low stakes and confidence), but odds are already dropped so forget about it.

I was very doubtful about 1X2 bets in this match.

Throttur are in - form and they do need points. Valur, on the other hand, after 2 defeats in a row managed to bounce back defeating KR at home (3-0 FT). Although KR are showing a poor game lately the victory ovber them have been a great achievement for Valur in terms of morale. Balanced game? I have to say I feel Valur have to be favourited here.

The guests have an excellent record vs Throttur; also the hosts are going to miss some players: the serbian Jaic and the midfielder Saevarsson will be out through suspension. Two absences that today will increase Throttur's lack oif quality.

FH (-1) - Fram:

Pick: Draw
Odds: 4,00
Bookmaker: Stanleybet
Stake: 1/10
Confidence: 2/10

FH - Fram; Throttur - Valur:

Pick: FH + Valur
Odds: 2,31 (1,40/1,65)
Bookmaker: Stanleybet
Stake: 3,5/10
Confidence: 6/10

KK_

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