Landsbankadeild - 31-05-2005 -

Valur - Fram:

Reykjavik derby.. again. The newly promoted Valur host Fram.

Valur Reykjavik comes to the Icelandic Premier after having dominated the lower league (Delid 1.) last year. They also had an excellent pre-season.

Fram Reykjavik is a team rich of history, but they have surely known better times. Last year they ended at 8th place in the table, just 1 point above the relegated Vikingur.

This year Valur have won the first 3 games, while Fram collected 2 wins and 1 defeat (in the derby vs KR: a cursed fixture for them), so both team look pretty in form, but I think Valur is the far better side: they have several interesting players, easily create chances and score goals for fun. Valur and Fram met each other many times in the past and here are some recent results:

10.02.05
2005
Fram - Valur
0-2

22.04.04
2004
Valur - Fram
2-1

14.09.03
2003
Valur - Fram
2-0

06.07.03
2003
Fram - Valur
2-1

24.11.02
2003
Valur - Fram
4-2

17.02.02
2002
Fram - Valur
2-1

12.01.02
2002
Valur - Fram
2-2

16.07.01
2001
Valur - Fram
3-2

04.07.01
2001
Valur - Fram
2-3

17.05.01
2001
Fram - Valur
2-3

11.09.99
1999
Valur - Fram
2-1

05.07.99
1999
Fram - Valur
2-2

The first thing to be noticed is the high number of goals recurring in almost every match between these teams; the second one is Valur's impressive home record vs Fram. If we went further in the past we would also notice that many years ago Fram were everything but an easy opponent to Valur, but as it often happens things have changed (the same about KR and FH).

I'm going to blindly trust the statistic stuff.

Valur - Fram:

Pick: Over 2,5
Odds: 2,35
Bookmaker: Stanleybet
Stake: 8/10
Confidence: 8/10

Valur - Fram:

Pick: Valur
Odds: 2,00
Bookmaker: Stanleybet
Stake: 6/10
Confidence: 6/10

KK_

KR 0 - 1 FH

Close game, indeed.. but who cares? The important thing is the won bet. Let's try and continue this way.

KK_

Landsbankadeild - 29-05-2005 -

KR - FH:

Big match in Icelandic league. Let me first say I don't like KR Reykjiavik. Bookmakers offered them at odds on in the first round, for the away match at Fylkir. KR won (2-1 FT), but they have been very lucky: immediately 1-0 down KR managed to equalise and then to score the winning goal only at 90'. In the next round they collected 3 pts again, in the derby vs Fram, but it does mean nothing to me since KR always defeat Fram at home. Finally the defeat away at Keflavik (1-2 FT) a couple of days ago.

Icelandic experts rate FH Hafnarfjordur as the main title candidate this year. It looks they're right so far: FH lead the table thanks to 3 victories out of 3 games.
H2H statistics show a slight dominance of the guests in the recent past. A sort of 'countertrend' since years ago and for a quite long time KR had not many troubles in defeating FH at home.

I feel the visitors have good chances to leave Reykjavik with the full prize.

KR - FH:

Pick: FH
Odds: 2,35
Bookmaker: Stanleybet
Stake: 5/10
Confidence: 5/10

KK_

Fram 3 - 0 Throttur

Easy victory for the home side. We're starting to recover after the heavy loss in the previous round, but I feel some improvements can be achieved. Stay tuned.

KK_

Landsbankadeild - 27-05-2005 -

Fram - Throttur:

Reykjiavik derby (actually 5 teams out of 10 are from the Icelandic Capital, so we'll really see many derbies this season). My vote goes to Fram here: awful last year, it looks they have started the current season in a better way by winning at home vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar (3-0 FT). They then lost 'away' at KR (0-1 FT), but Fram usually loose that fixture.
Two defeats in the first two rounds for the newcomers Throttur.

Fram - Throttur

Pick: Fram
Odds: 1,90
Bookmaker: Stanleybet
Stake: 3/10
Confidence: 5/10

KK_

Valur 2 - 0 Akranes

Well.. Here is what I call a false start. It does look Valur won quite easily so my picks were totally wrong. Let's try and learn something by this loss for the next bets.

KK_

Landsbankadeild - 23-05-2005 -

Valur – IA Akranes:

Icelandic league 2nd round. No news available at all. Just table and statistics (hey! Don't understimate them!). Here my experiment starts.

Both teams started the season with a home victory: Valur defeated Grindavik (3-1 FT), while IA Akranes got rid of Throttur Reykjavik (1-0 FT).

The newly promoted Valur hosted Akranes 3 times in the recent past and 3 times the team from Reykjiavik have been defeated with at least 2 goals margin. Last season IA ended the season at 3rd place in the table and they had a very good awat record (5/3/1). I want to trust the guests and I’ll go for the away win. I’d also try and give Akranes -1 goal (european handicap) since I find the offered odds very valuable.

Valur – IA:
Pick: IA
Odds :2,30
Bookmaker: Stanleybet
Stake: 6/10
Confidence: 6/10

Valur - IA (-1):
Pick: IA
Odds: 6,90
Stake: 1,5/10
Confidence: 6/10

KK_